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Joe Biden - 45th President

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This will be a summary of events that happened under President Biden.  I recently finished a Biden for President scenario.

http://www.270soft.ipbhost.com/index.php?/topic/12597-biden-2016/

 

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January 20, 2017

Joe Biden is sworn in as the 45th President of the Unites States of America.

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Cabinet:

State: Tim Kaine

Treasury: Jack Lew

Defense: Jim Webb

Attorney General: Loretta Lynch

Interior: Martin O'Malley

Agriculture: Tom Vilsack

Commerce: Cameron Kerry

Labor: Elizabeth Warren

Health and Human Services: Ben Carson

Housing and Urban Development: Julian Castro

Transportation: Bernie Sanders

Energy: Ernest Moniz

Education: John King, Jr

Veterans Affairs: John McCain

Homeland Security: Rand Beers

UN Ambassador: Tom Udall

White House Chief of Staff: Denis McDonough

 

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President Joe Biden announced today that if the FBI recommends indictment for Hillary Clinton, he would go through with it.  He also said that no one is above the law and if someone breaks the law, they should be punished.  Biden made this a big part of his campaign during the primary.  Vice President Rubio was with him when he made the announcement.  He made a few comments about the situation as well.  He thanked President Biden for holding everyone accountable to the law.  Republicans overwhelmingly supported the decision as well as the majority of Democrats.  Polls have shown that most people who voted for Clinton are against the decision while most Democrats who voted for any of the other candidates supported the decision.

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New Senate Situation:

Republicans: 53

Democrat: 46

Independent: 1

Two Democrats from states where there are Republican governors joined the cabinet.  This puts these numbers as the new Senate numbers temporarily.  Special elections will be scheduled within the month in each of the states as well as the 2 states where Democrats have the governor and a Senator left.

Ralph Northam from Virginia (D)

Steve Lonegan from New Jersey (R)

Gabriel E. Gomez from Massachusetts (R)

James C. Condos from Vermont (D)

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January 2017

Merrick Garland Confirmed by the Senate

President Biden stated that he would stick with Obama's nominee if elected while on the campaign trail.  Well, he stuck to his word, and as a result, Garland was confirmed.  While 20 Republicans voted against him, the majority of the Republicans gave in and kept their promise to let the nest President decide who he wanted.  There were those that thought the Republicans would hold out for a different nominee since Garland had been nominated by Obama, but those people turned out to be wrong.

 

President Biden made a few statements.

"I am glad that the Senate finally upheld their Constitutional responsibility.  Now, the Supreme Court will have the proper number of 9 judges and can function again.  I thank all those that continued to support Justice Garland through the times of Republican obstructionism.  Now, we can move on to the other issues that are at hand."

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February 2017

Congress Passes Keystone Pipeline; Biden Signs

The Keystone Pipeline was passed through the Senate on a mostly party line vote.  All 53 Republicans voted in favor and 7 Democrats voted in favor.  Sen. Manchin from West Virginia, Jon Tester from Montana, Heidi Heitkamp from North Dakota, Joe Donnelly from Indiana, Claire McCaskill from Missouri, Mark Warner from Virginia, and Ralph Northam from Virginia were the Democrats that voted in favor of the bill.  Biden took flack from environmental groups as well as many on the left.  In response, Biden stated, "The Keystone Pipeline is good for Americans jobs and the American economy.  I always want to promote a better US.  This was a step in the right direction and will help our economy in the future to come."

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March 2017

Clarence Thomas Retires

Clarence Thomas hinted at retiring from the Supreme Court during the 2016 election.  Well, he has now stepped down which will allow Biden to chose a second nominee in his presidency.  Conservatives and Republicans are very worried over this turn of events as they already see the court as 5-4 in favor of liberals.  The nation will now have to wait and see who Biden chooses to replace Thomas.

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March 2017

Sri Srinivasan is Biden's Nominee

Joe Biden announced the Sri Srinivasan would be his nominee to take Clarence Thomas's spot on the Supreme Court.  He received wide support from Republicans when he was appointed to the United States Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit.  Now, we will wait and see whether the Senate confirms the pick.

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March 2017

Sri Srinivasan Confirmed

Sri Srinivasan was confirmed with a vote of 95-5.  Many experts expected a vote like this.

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April 2017

Biden Signs Legislation Deal

The House and the Senate passed a legislation deal yesterday and President Biden signed it today.  The deal raised the federal minimum wage to $10 an hour while banning abortion after the 20-week mark unless the mother's life is at risk.  There was some opposition on both sides, but it was passed through Congress without much trouble.  Both of these positions were a part of Biden's platform during the campaign.  Biden made some comments.  "I would like to thank both parties in Congress in their commitment to get things done.  We have made great progress with this legislation."

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Late April 2017

Approval Ratings

Approve: 52%

Disapprove: 48%

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May 2017

ISIS has reverse the loses and is starting to close in on Baghdad in Iraq.  In Syria, it has regained ground in northern Syria.  In Yemen, ISIS has started to get organized and has taken some land.  In Afghanistan, ISIS has taken some areas of land, but is still overshadowed by the Taliban.  Opinion polls have seen this issue skyrocket over the last few months.  Support is the highest it has been for sending in ground troops.

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June 2017

Congress overwhelmingly passed an authorization of force bill against ISIS.  This is allowing the President to send in the ground troops needed to take out ISIS.  It is targeted at Iraq and Syria but has a provision allowing force if the threat of ISIS grows in Yemen and Afghanistan.

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July 2017

President Biden has announced that troops will be sent in.  The initial force will be 500,000 soldiers.  He also said that there are reserves available if more troops are needed to take out ISIS in Iraq nd Syria.  He also invoked article 5 of NATO and the NATO countries are preparing to send in troops.  President Biden has also ordered a UN resolution prepared.  This would be proposed to get a UN force into the fight as well.

 

Fighting starts outside of Baghdad

ISIS has closed in on the Iraqi capital and has started its initial attack.  Experts predict that the whole country will fall if Iraq falls.  The US troops could be in a tough situation if they do not arrive quickly enough.  ISIS has also expanded its fight into Lebanon and is taking territory in the eastern part of the country.  President Biden has requested that Congress give a provision for an authorization of force against ISIS in Lebanon if the threat there grows.

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August 2017

Baghdad has fallen and the rest of Iraq is quickly being captured by ISIS.  The mobilization of the US forces is taking longer than expected and there are consequences as a result.  ISIS has also started pushing deeper into Kurdish territory in Iraq as well as in Syria.  It has also taken much of the territory held by the Syrian rebels in northern Syria as well as territory held by the al-Nusra Front.  In Lebanon, ISIS has taken much of the northeast part of the country and is approaching Hermel(Hezbollah controlled) and the Jawsiyah border crossing.  They have also defeated the al-Nusra Front in Lebanon and have gained the support of many of their fighter as well as their land.  ISIS has been contained in Afghanistan and Yemen for the time.  But, there is more bad news.  ISIS has revived its presence in Libya.

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September 2017

ISIS makes peace with the Kurds.  In a deal between the 2 groups, the Kurds will have control of the land that is Kurdistan as well as any further territory controlled at this point in Iraq and Syria.  ISIS has driven deeper into Syria and is starting to pin down both the rebels and the government forces in the southwestern part of Syria where Damascus is.  In Lebanon, the entire northern part of the country is controlled by ISIS.  US forces are only now starting to leave for their stationing area in Saudi Arabia.  ISIS hs also expanded and has started moving in on Kuwait.

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October 2017

Syria has fallen.  Lebanon and Kuwait are crumbling.  ISIS now has control over 2 full countries.  If Lebanon and Kuwait both fall as well, this will make the job very hard for the US soldiers.  The Pentagon is expecting a long drawn out war against ISIS.  Congress has passed a bill allowing the use of force in Lebanon and Kuwait.  Israel is preparing their forces for war against ISIS as well.  Turkey and Saudi Arabia are not doing much to help in the fight and many nations have questioned their actions.  Russia and Iran are also preparing their militaries for full war against ISIS.  The US military is half way to being ready to move in.  Egypt has been able to remove the ISIS presence in their country and has established closer relations with Israel.  Israel is allowing Egypt to pass through their territory in order to fight ISIS.  As a result, Egypt is mobilizing their military.  Egypt has agreed to recognize Israeli control in the Gaza Strip, West Bank, and Golan Heights as well as its capital at Jerusalem.  This decision has made many Arab nations mad but Egypt feels that this must be done in order to defend the country.

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October 2017

Approval Ratings:

Approve: 35%

Disapprove: 65%

Handling of ISIS:

Approve: 15%

Disapprove: 85%

Economy:

Approve: 60%

Disapprove: 40%

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November 2017

The US has their military in position and ready to go.  The Pentagon is drawing up plans for their attack strategy.  This has been complicated by the capture of Kuwait by ISIS.  Lebanon has also collapsed and has fallen to ISIS.  Reports are that ISIS has been getting followers smuggled into Jordan.  Russia is massing troops in Iran near the border with Iraq and Iran is also preparing its troops along the border.  Israel is putting massive amounts of troops on its northern border with Syria and Lebanon.  Egypt has started putting troops into Jordan to help protect Jordan from attacks.  Israel has also put troops in Jordan with an agreement for recognition of Israeli control of the Gaza Strip, West Bank, and Golan Heights.  Jordan also recognize Jerusalem as the capital of Israel.  Experts think that ISIS has expanded to its max and will now be crushed.  They think that the conflict is now about influence in the Middle East.

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November 2017

President Biden announced that he will recognize Israeli control over the Gaza Strip, West Bank, and Golan Heights.  He is also recognizing the capital of Israel as Jerusalem and moving the US embassy there.  This comes after Egypt and Jordan did the same.  Saudi Arabia and Iran both called out against these recognitions by the US, Jordan, and Egypt, but this does not appear to have had any effect.  Many EU countries and Turkey are also exploring this option.

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This is what I'd expect to happen,can the U.S call for early elections? Lol,idk if thats ever been done,weve never talked about it in any of my politcal courses

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If a president would maintain 25% ratings on a 8 month or a year basis I could see for a call for one

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No, the President could be impeached, but that is only for high crimes and misdemeanors which Biden has not committed to this point.  And, even if a President is impeached, the VP just takes over.  The only time there would probably be an early election is if everyone in the line for Presidential succession died which has a very, very low probability of happening.

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Although US Presidential Recall might be an idea to allow more popular power to common people over an increasingly out-of-touch federal executive, looking at various all-time low approval ratings periods for the last three Presidents (Bill Clinton, George W. Bush, and Barack Obama), exacerbated by modern media and ever more inflammatory political opponents, one would wonder if ANY President could last a full term under the modern political atmosphere if such an amendment were hypothetically passed...

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